"At the same time," he said, "if you have vulnerable populations in like a Pinellas County where you have mobile homes, senior facilities, you want to make sure they're getting to safety." Some models show even higher intensities, the center said. The hurricane center reported that Ian has yet to develop an inner core, but that significant, rapid intensification is still expected, with Ian becoming a hurricane on Monday and a major hurricane of Category 3 strength (sustained winds of more than 111 mph) or more by Tuesday in the Gulf of Mexico. One model that had been among the westernmost, the GFS, has trended eastward for the past few runs, helping to prompt the small shift in the NHC track. However, forecasters noted that some models continue to bring the storm into the west central Florida coast, near the Sarasota-Bradenton area, while others show it headed more toward the Panhandle. advisory, the National Hurricane Center shifted the track for the center of the storm about 20 miles to the east, which would project a landfall further east in the Big Bend area sometime Friday. The future Hurricane Ian is continuing to make it difficult for forecasters to narrow down an expected path. update | Ian's forecast track shifts eastward, closer to Sarasota-Bradenton area but uncertainty remains No evacuations had been ordered as of late Sunday.ĥ p.m. Meanwhile, further north in the Tampa Bay area, Hillsborough school officials announced public schools will be closed Monday through Thursday of this week because many schools would be needed as evacuation shelters. Pinellas and Pasco counties said their schools would be closed Tuesday and Wednesday. The Herald-Tribune will post updates and the school districts will also post on their websites at and. Both counties said they continue to monitor Tropical Storm Ian and consult with county emergency officials. The Sarasota district said there is a possibility that schools might close on Tuesday for shelter openings. Sarasota and Manatee County school officials tweeted Sunday that schools will be open Monday with normal operations. update | Sarasota, Manatee schools open Monday as officials watch Ian The hurricane center said a 7 foot storm surge was possible from the Englewood area to Bonita Beach in its 11 p.m.
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